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Howard Stearns' Inventing the Future
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Dial Tone
Posted By: Stearns
William Gibson has said, “I think in a very real sense cyberspace is the place where a ... telephone call takes place.”
David says he thinks of Croquet as the dial tone for Cyberspace.
Because You Can
Posted By: Stearns
Ever since Shelly's “Frankenstein”, the distinguishing characteristic of science fiction (as opposed to fantasy and other literature) has been the postulation that beings can change the circumstances of the world in which they live. We can alter the human condition, for better or worse. An idea of the last few decades has been that we can create an alternative reality for ourselves that is better than the one we inhabit in the flesh. For example, the movie “Avatar” has the characters access an improved natural world through a virtualized experience.
This terrific short blog applies this idea wonderfully to learning and collaboration. “The real power of a virtual immersive environment is the ability to transport the learner or collaborators into an environment that is ideally suited for the learning or collaborating that needs to take place and this usually requires an altering of the spaces.”
In principle, we can abstractly virtualize such an experience with 2D photographs, or even 1D text, but that doesn't tend to cross the threshold of immersion that is necessary for deep learning and deep collaboration. As
this commenter on the above puts it, “In most 2-D meeting tools, the data is the center of focus, not the human. Think about a Web meeting. The leader is simply showing participants slides. But the participants are not interacting with the information, nor one another.” Simply reading about nature or viewing it from a helicopter was not enough for the characters in Avatar, they had to “be” there and interact with it.
Discrimination Fades? Who Do You Want to Be Today?
Posted By: Stearns
The virtual world is fertile ground for exploration of social and identity issues. Like the crucible of
competitive sports controversies, synthetic worlds let us burn away irrelevancies to reach abstract truths about, e.g., gender and
sexuality. The computer-as-laboratory lets you control the environment and change one variable at a time, and every possible interaction and gesture can be recorded for examination.
Social worlds are the most numerous and have the most users, and so provide the most
opportunity for study. Although the examples are still from social worlds,
this article is the first I've seen that addresses avatar gender in the workplace. My take-away is, “On the internet, no one knows you're a dog of the wrong gender.” Men can be women if it helps a sale. Women can be men if it helps a negotiation. Otherwise, it's just not a big deal.
I suspect, though, that we can do even better. I think we'll see a Village People effect in which we will become both more aware and more comfortable with differences that are now still scary to many people.


[Read More!]
NOW they get it. NOW they don't.
Posted By: Stearns
I find two of Microsoft's current ad campaigns interesting. One asserts that computer technology is all about connecting people, particularly synchronously (as opposed to asynchronous stuff like email, file sharing, and wikis). If you replaced the Microsoft logo at the end with Qwaq's, I think it would fit my company perfectly. They get it.
But now they're running another series of adds that dismisses search engines in favor of what they call a decision engine. I don't want Microsoft to make decisions for me, but I sure do want information much closer to real time. On Friday we saw first one green Chinook helicopter go by our office windows, and then another, and then I think a Huey. What's going on, I asked of the office in general, as they shouldn't be training on such a windy day over a populated area. So Keith searched. He figured Google was too old-news, so he immediately went to Twitter. Someone had posted that there were helicopters going past their office windows to the nearby San Carlos field for tomorrow's helicopter air show. This week a fellow on Colbert interviewed the editor of the New York Times. “Here's today's paper,” he said to the editor. “Show me one thing that happened today.”
I figure Wide-Area-Networked computer systems have only been around for a little more than ten years. Most of the realtime applications have been dedicated, structured, proprietary systems. But for people to truly connect, to truly work together, they need to be able to pull arbitrary things together in real time — things that the designer of the system did not specifically envision and provide for. Real time arbitrary search(*) is one example, but the general theme is realtime, unstructured, multi-person, multi-media, multi-application collaboration. It's going to be huge.
(*) When Web search started, realtime search referred to getting answers to a query in realtime. It wasn't about the age of the underlying information. Now realtime results are the expected norm, and we can safely use the phrase “realtime search” to mean that the information is live.
I don't know what to call this general application collaboration: multidimensional, multi-facetted, unlimited, live, organic, unconstrained, ...
Being Seen
Posted By: Stearns
I'd been wondering whether anyone on our company's Board of Directors knew who I was. I know a couple but it turns out most didn't. But just before the last board meeting I ran into a director that I'm sure I had never been introduced to. He said, “Hi Howard” as we passed.
The only thing I can think of is that he must have recognized me from my avatar. I don't remember now what I had worn when I had briefly participated in previous meeting. It could have been a photo- or video-faced “Lego man” or it could have been a custom avatar.


I haven't been very interested in
avatar appearance, but I guess there is value in having people build some personal familiarity without physically meeting. I don't want cold-calls via virtual worlds, but I suppose that a scheduled virtual meeting or happenstance encounter in a virtual reception builds a stronger tie than email or telephone. I wonder how that will play out for sales and relationship-building in the future.
True and False
Posted By: Stearns
The world as we know it is a fictionalized version.
Today's papers carry the obituary of Hubert Van Es. Apparently, after shooting the famous photo of the last helicopter out of Saigon, this van-dyke wearing Dutch photojournalist was a fixture in the Hong Kong press-club bar for the next 30 years, complete with Hawaiian shirt and floppy press-corp hat, cursing away in accented English. It seems the most clichéd of what we consider fiction really does capture something true. But what of the things we consider fact? The photo of the throngs lined up to board the helicopter is remembered as being on the roof of the US embassy. According to the Washington Post obituary, an editor mis-captioned what was actually an apartment building. But dig some more and it is said that the building was the home of the CIA station chief and his officers, and that the people turned away were employed by the US. So reality is close to the truth. Maybe close enough, maybe correct in a way but not precisely accurate.
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What I did with Tea Time
Posted By: Stearns
Guy Steele is a sweet guy who doesn't give folks a hard time. But I have heard him several times lament that many computer science conferences are filled with variations on the same paper, which he lampoons as, “How I cataloged my CD collection with Lisp.” (I think he started saying this back when they were called record collections. I haven't seen him in years and I suppose the routine now refers to MP3s.)
I've just been wrestling with a problem, and I'm so charmed with the
Tea Time solution that I'm willing to sound like a college student that just learned how to do something mundane with his new profound toy. Call me a hack.
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What Do You Want to Do Today?
Posted By: Stearns
What can you do in a virtual world? Quite a bit, although we're still
quite far from the answer being, “Anything you can do in the real world.” Here's a baseline list of today's raw capabilities, in the language of virtual worlds. (The higher level activity one does with these capabilities is
another story.)
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What's a Server?
Posted By: Stearns
I was taught that science is all about managing complexity by creating abstractions over different domains. A common layman's mistake is to anecdotally observe or hear that something is true at some level, somewhere, and assume that this fact or definition applies throughout every discussion. For example:
One hears that computers are “programmed in binary,” or that they “understand binary,” but in fact, programmers don't write in binary. Programmers work at a higher level of abstraction than binary encoding.
One hears that computers use “digital circuits,” that are simply “on” or “off”, but in fact, the physics of each electronic component is continuously variable. Device physics is at a lower level of abstraction than digital electronics.
So, what's a server and what is peer-to-peer? It depends on what 's being discussed?
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Computer-Generated News
Posted By: Stearns
I'm old enough to vaguely remember
Walter Cronkite forty years ago showing us hand painted “NASA Simulation” video of the Apollo spacecraft maneuvering in space. There simply was no way to position a news camera outside the Lunar and Command Modules to get the shot.
Now we have computer generated movies and commercials. I've seen computer simulations of plane crashes and of
presidential candidates. But yesterday morning was the first time I'd seen computer-generated pictures of human participants in breaking news. I'm not sure I approve of the concept altogether, but given it's existence I do like the editorial decision to render the named humans in untextured solid red.
[Read More!]
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